About the article
B.A. KOBRINSKY, Dr. Sc.
The purpose of constructing a mathematical model is to dynamically analyze the transitional states of the organism that threaten the formation of chronic diseases in the future and to evaluate the effectiveness of preventive protective effects. The quasi-continuum of transitional states of an organism is considered as a random process with discrete states. It is possible to compare the process with phase transitions to spasmodic qualitative changes in health. The evolution of the system consists in the transition from the norm to pathology, with the exception of cases when, under the influence of protectors, a regression of the pathological process is possible. The creation of a model of transitional states of health – a digital twin of a person – meets the goal of control personal health by preventing or delaying the manifestation of diseases based on directed counter-influences on certain modifiable risk factors for the development of pathological processes.
transient states of health, theory of random processes, phase space, predictors, protectors.